nucanuck's comment history

nucanuck said...

Shultz, are you basically dismissing the rapid C02 rise from 280 to 400 ppm (and climbing) as irrelevant to the projected temperature rise to 3.5C above baseline by 2100? Do you also assert that the current warming is not at the point of causing large methane releases that may compound the heat gain several times over?

If you are and if you can sustain your argument, you could save seven billion people from a very warm ending. You might become the new Einstein on steroids. And I would be able to leave feeling far better about the prospects for my grandchildren.

April 9, 2014 at 1:23 a.m.
nucanuck said...

Interesting that the burning of fossil fuels that enabled the industrial revolution, today's modernity, and an explosion in world population, could now be causing the reversal of all those trends through the bi-product of fossil fuels, CO2.

We will have come full circle in less than 200 years.

April 7, 2014 at 2:21 p.m.
nucanuck said...

Humans could have controlled carbon induced climate change, but no longer. Our window of opportunity has passed and we are now feeling the impacts of carbon creation from 40 years back. By 2030 exponential climate change will have brought us to 3.5C above the 1850 baseline, at a minimum. Habitat for food will have shrunk enormously and our own extinction will be underway.

Those aren't my thoughts, but rather a small bit of the well researched scientific synthesis gathered by Guy McPherson and accessible on his website at Nature Bats Last. His climate summary is updated regularly and has an active comment board following. His videos tell the story in a more colorful way. No matter what your beliefs might be regarding climate change, you will learn many (well footnoted) facts about which you were probably unaware before accessing this site.

Caution: The information can be disturbing. I found myself in a quiet introspective period for several days after my first exposure.

Note: Denial is one of the stages of grief.

April 7, 2014 at 1:11 a.m.
nucanuck said...

After the US bungled the sub rosa intervention into Ukrainian politics and the mostly Russian populated Crimea took shelter with mother Russia, Obama missed the perfect opportunity to STFU. Trying to control the internal politics of country after country in order to implement some grand geopolitical plan has the US looking worse and worse on the world stage. US economic muscle has atrophied and all that is left is an over-sized military that the US can no longer afford. (Reflections of the USSR circa 1989)

Some wag said that Kerry was a haircut in search of a brain. Well, Obama isn't looking much better and with each new utterance, his stock sinks even more. Stop Barack! Please stop!

March 18, 2014 at 1:46 a.m.
nucanuck said...

I suspect that the TFP requires a high percentage of local content from Clay and both editorialists. Why else would there be so little coverage of the bigger topics in the world? This small silly partisan cartoon is probably Clay's effort to fill his local coverage quota to keep the TFP paymaster happy.

JMO

March 18, 2014 at 1:25 a.m.
nucanuck said...

Zab, you say VW workers are paid well and I ask, compared to whom? My daughter's company hires house cleaners at $20 hr and head house cleaners at $25 hr. Carpenters get $35 to $55 per hour. Those figures are contract prices, but still, you can see that VW workers are not making some grand fortune or even enough to be middle-class comfortable. The American consumer is tapped out because wages haven't kept up with the cost of living and now the consumer has very little discretionary income'

When workers have too small a piece of the pie, Unions will become more and more appealing. That's about where America is.

March 18, 2014 at 1:13 a.m.
nucanuck said...

Jt, if my prior post about how my family lives gave you the impression that we are living a bare bones existence, I apologize. We live quite well and even though we have made lifestyle changes, we have a quality of life that few can rival. We are surrounded by beauty at every turn. We live in a wonderful climate with a little too much dampness for three months followed by near perfection. The deer in the garden are maddening, but we will have a deer fence up by the end of the week. There are very few biting bugs here…don't need screens. Well educated people from every corner of the earth help with a broader understanding of universal issues. No creationists, no climate change deniers..yep, we've got it pretty good.

March 17, 2014 at 5:29 p.m.
nucanuck said...

Jt,

The BC First Nations Tribes have been able to block the pipeline so far. Will they crumble? So far, money has not been their issue. Ottawa tries to keep changing the rules and laws in order to force the pipeline. The more important point is that the majority of BC residents don't want the toxic tar sands product flowing through BC or fouling their coastline while you apparently think a pipeline would be good for your US neighbors. Curious, the different thinking.

The reason the Keystone pipeline would tend to raise US prices is that by eliminating the current surplus (read over-supply) in the central US (Cushing Oklahoma), US prices would tend to rise back in line with world prices (Brent) where they used to be, pre-surplus. (I guess that I just thought you would know that/remember that.) Certainly the Brent price could be lowered at the margin, but not by much because of the tiny ratio of new oil to the world price. Net Net, the US would pay more.

You are right about me not being able to prove Tar Sands oil to be the dirtiest of all fossil fuels. I have read that statement so often in so many places that I just assumed it to be true. Would you please tell us the real truth?

March 17, 2014 at 5:04 p.m.
nucanuck said...

Jt,

The Feds still have to deal with the First Nation tribes and that is not going well.

Also a presumed majority in left leaning BC oppose the pipeline which also adds doubt to the final outcome.

The Feds may be able to cram the pipeline down the throats of the people, but that is far from certain.

May we assume that you prefer strong central government forcing policy against the will of the people?

March 17, 2014 at 1:45 p.m.
nucanuck said...

PT, I love my former home and miss my friends from there, but that doesn't mean that there aren't many things worthy of criticism…and praise in Chattanooga. Littlefield disgusted me, Berke seems to be doing a good job. I hate the summer heat in Chattanooga. I am very proud of the changes in Chattanooga since the late 1970s. That has been quite a story and I got to live in and among the middle of those changes.

Nationally, I think Obama has done a poor job, but still probably better than had McCain been elected. Neither was Romney clearly better in the policy areas that I think matter most. I don't see any real difference between the parties in foreign and economic policy. Once in office they both do about the same thing but with slightly different emphasis.

I suspect that we all know the US is badly off course, but so is the financial structure of the whole developed world. We know that what can't be sustained, won't last. We just don't know how long before the fall. We also know that finite resources can't last forever, but we can't even allow our minds to begin to think about life with less than we are now accustomed to.

We are due for a deep worldwide depression about now…will we get it? Will that depression lead to the changes that might put things in a better balance? We can only hope for the best and take what comes.

March 17, 2014 at 12:49 p.m.
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